Fabio Fognini vs Arthur Fery Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do players compare on second serve points? Fery takes a slight edge, winning 45.05% compared to Fognini's 42.69% in recent form, highlighting a potential advantage on second serve exchanges.
• In terms of return game, Fognini excels with 47.36% win on opponent's second serve points, surpassing Fery, who stands at 42.81%. Additionally, on first serve returns, Fognini remains ahead at 27.88% over Fery's 25.24%.
• When handling breakpoints, Fery shows more resilience, saving 56.94% of them, which is a significant edge over Fognini's 52.94% in this area.
• In the past 12 months, Fery boasts a higher match win percentage, securing victory in 74.19% of matches in contrast to Fognini's 47.06%. Does winning percentage alone predict likely victory? Possibly, given its impact on overall performance.
• Considering surface preferences, Fognini's strength lies on Clay with a 62% win rate, whereas Fery thrives on I.hard with 71%, which could shift predictions depending on the playing surface.
• Analyzing the competition level, Fery competes primarily at the Futures/ITF $10K level with an 87.5% win rate, while Fognini plays mainly in Challengers/ITF > $10K, winning 65% of matches. Does this indicate different experience levels? Yes, it might provide an edge in event-adjusted predictions.
• Fognini has faced tougher competitors, with opponents having an average rank of 194.94 versus Fery's 372.26, reflecting on his exposure to high-caliber play.
• In deciding sets, Fery is more successful, winning 67% compared to Fognini's 56%, which could be pivotal in close matches.
• Concerning break point conversion, Fery is slightly more efficient, converting 33.33% of opportunities against Fognini's 31.18%, revealing potential critical moments during play.

Editorial Prediction (June 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents a compelling contrast between Fabio Fognini and Arthur Fery. Performance patterns over the last six months show Fery’s superiority in second serve points and breakpoint efficiency. His resilience under pressure is evident as he saves a significant share of breakpoints and shines in deciding set scenarios.

Despite Fognini's faced challenges with higher-ranked opponents and success on clay, his recent form suggests vulnerabilities. However, in service returns, particularly against opponents' first serves, Fognini exhibits an edge over Fery.

When taking career surfaces into account, Fognini's strength on clay clashes with Fery’s prowess on indoor hard courts, adding more complexity to the matchup prediction.

Based on overall performance, including win rates, competition level, and deciding set outcomes, Arthur Fery is the slight favorite to claim victory in this match. His impressive performance stats, potentially easier recent opponents, and breakpoint resilience offer him a decisive edge.